Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Herschel Walker
Scott Carson
78%
22%
Why
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Walker: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Carson: 2 sig / 0 TD
Herschel Walker
Scott Carson
24
Sig strikes landed
33
55
Sig strikes attempted
52
74
Total strikes landed
39
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.0
Takedowns attempted
-0.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
265s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
14%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
57%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Herschel Walker
3-0
Career record
Height
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
49
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Miami
—
Blue corner
Scott Carson
0-0
Career record
Height
74"