Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ross Pearson
Spencer Fisher
41%
59%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
26
Age
Δ 8y
35
20-17
Career record
Δ 19 pp
25-9
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pearson: 59 sig / 3 TD ·
Fisher: 38 sig / 1 TD
Ross Pearson
Spencer Fisher
52
Sig strikes landed
51
136
Sig strikes attempted
114
64
Total strikes landed
66
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
62s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20-17
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
W1
Spencer Fisher
"The King"
25-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—