Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Maciej Jewtuszko
Curt Warburton
61%
39%
Why
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jewtuszko: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Warburton: 18 sig / 4 TD
Maciej Jewtuszko
Curt Warburton
35
Sig strikes landed
35
70
Sig strikes attempted
67
63
Total strikes landed
58
2.0
Takedowns landed
2.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
109s
Control time
247s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Maciej Jewtuszko
"Irokez"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
Blue corner
L1
Curt Warburton
13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
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