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Forrest Griffin vs Rich Franklin

UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Forrest Griffin
Rich Franklin
41% 59%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
32
Age
Δ 4y
36
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Griffin: 50 sig / 5 TD · Franklin: 33 sig / 1 TD
Forrest Griffin
Rich Franklin
27
Sig strikes landed
32
65
Sig strikes attempted
65
35
Total strikes landed
38
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
80s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Forrest Griffin

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
W1

Rich Franklin

"Ace"
30-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
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