Middleweight
Charles McTorry vs Krishaun Gilmore
Strikeforce Challengers 13
·Nashville Municipal Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Charles McTorry
Krishaun Gilmore
84%
16%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Charles McTorry
Krishaun Gilmore
38
Sig strikes landed
38
93
Sig strikes attempted
93
73
Total strikes landed
50
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
147s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Charles McTorry
0-0
Career record
Blue corner
Krishaun Gilmore
0-0
Career record