Middleweight
John Salter vs Casey Huffman
Strikeforce Challengers 13
·Nashville Municipal Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Salter
Casey Huffman
90%
10%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
John Salter
Casey Huffman
45
Sig strikes landed
40
100
Sig strikes attempted
95
68
Total strikes landed
45
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
140s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
John Salter
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
Blue corner
Casey Huffman
"Hellbent"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"