Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jacob Volkmann
Antonio McKee
52%
48%
Why
30
Age
Δ 10y
41
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Volkmann: 10 sig / 1 TD ·
McKee: 25 sig / 1 TD
Jacob Volkmann
Antonio McKee
27
Sig strikes landed
26
66
Sig strikes attempted
55
48
Total strikes landed
44
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
233s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jacob Volkmann
"Christmas"
20-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
L
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
Antonio McKee
"Mandingo"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
41