Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Pat Audinwood
John Makdessi
59%
41%
Why
25
Age
Δ 1y
26
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Audinwood: 19 sig / 1 TD ·
Makdessi: 74 sig / 0 TD
Pat Audinwood
John Makdessi
26
Sig strikes landed
35
63
Sig strikes attempted
64
36
Total strikes landed
56
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
113s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Pat Audinwood
"Awesomely Awesome"
11-3-1
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
—
Blue corner
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26