🏆 Title fight
Main
Welterweight
Georges St-Pierre vs Josh Koscheck
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
·Bell Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Georges St-Pierre
Josh Koscheck
95%
5%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
27-2
Career record
Δ 31 pp
18-11
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
St-Pierre: 110 sig / 4 TD ·
Koscheck: 16 sig / 1 TD
Georges St-Pierre
Josh Koscheck
33
Sig strikes landed
11
52
Sig strikes attempted
34
60
Total strikes landed
30
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
202s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
70%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Georges St-Pierre
"Rush"
27-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
W1
Josh Koscheck
18-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
—