Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jeremiah Riggs
Jason Sharp
64%
36%
Why
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jeremiah Riggs
Jason Sharp
40
Sig strikes landed
41
103
Sig strikes attempted
103
53
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
3.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jeremiah Riggs
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
28
Blue corner
L1
Jason Sharp
3-4
Career record
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—