Middleweight
Rich Attonito vs David Branch
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rich Attonito
David Branch
27%
73%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
78"
34
Age
Δ 4y
29
11-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
23-6
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Attonito: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Branch: 16 sig / 4 TD
Rich Attonito
David Branch
15
Sig strikes landed
25
52
Sig strikes attempted
53
37
Total strikes landed
44
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.0
4.1
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
175s
Control time
268s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rich Attonito
"The Raging Bull"
11-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—
Blue corner
W1
David Branch
23-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
L
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—