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Jonathan Brookins vs Michael Johnson

The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jonathan Brookins
Michael Johnson
65% 35%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
25
Age
Δ 1y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brookins: 32 sig / 3 TD · Johnson: 30 sig / 0 TD
Jonathan Brookins
Michael Johnson
37
Sig strikes landed
39
86
Sig strikes attempted
82
51
Total strikes landed
53
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
118s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jonathan Brookins

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
Blue corner

Michael Johnson

"The Menace"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25