Main
Middleweight
Kendall Grove vs Demian Maia
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Kendall Grove
Demian Maia
38%
62%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 7"
72"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
24-17
Career record
Δ 14 pp
29-11
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Grove: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Maia: 42 sig / 5 TD
Kendall Grove
Demian Maia
22
Sig strikes landed
18
63
Sig strikes attempted
66
39
Total strikes landed
41
0.3
Takedowns landed
2.7
1.4
Takedowns attempted
7.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
47s
Control time
278s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kendall Grove
"Da Spyder"
24-17
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
L
UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
W1
Demian Maia
29-11
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
—
L
UFC 112: Invincible
—
W
UFC 109: Relentless
—