Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Lee Brousseau
Mike Glenn
69%
31%
Why
36
Age
Δ 3y
33
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lee Brousseau
Mike Glenn
44
Sig strikes landed
42
94
Sig strikes attempted
95
60
Total strikes landed
60
0.8
Takedowns landed
4.1
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
127s
Control time
232s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Lee Brousseau
"Manimal"
5-4
Career record
Height
73"
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—
Blue corner
Mike Glenn
0-0
Career record
Age
33