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Welterweight

Fernando Bettega vs Wayne Phillips

Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Babalu ·Enterprise Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Fernando Bettega
Wayne Phillips
79% 21%
Why
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Fernando Bettega
Wayne Phillips
42
Sig strikes landed
41
101
Sig strikes attempted
107
47
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
131s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Fernando Bettega

0-0
Career record
Age
31
Blue corner
W1

Wayne Phillips

8-7
Career record
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Strikeforce Challengers 6
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