Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Antonio Silva
Mike Kyle
59%
41%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 5"
77"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
20-12-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
23-14-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 17 sig / 1 TD ·
Kyle: 28 sig / 0 TD
Antonio Silva
Mike Kyle
48
Sig strikes landed
47
119
Sig strikes attempted
95
67
Total strikes landed
55
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
182s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
20-12-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—
Blue corner
W1
Mike Kyle
"MAK"
23-14-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 9
—