Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Roger Bowling
Bobby Voelker
63%
37%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
13-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
20-13
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Roger Bowling
Bobby Voelker
35
Sig strikes landed
35
74
Sig strikes attempted
83
51
Total strikes landed
48
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
168s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Roger Bowling
"Relentless"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—
Blue corner
W1
Bobby Voelker
"Vicious"
20-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 9
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—