Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mitsuhiro Ishida
Akiyo Nishiura
65%
35%
Why
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
21-8-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-8-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 2
Ishida: 13 sig / 8 TD ·
Nishiura: 18 sig / 0 TD
Mitsuhiro Ishida
Akiyo Nishiura
23
Sig strikes landed
21
51
Sig strikes attempted
61
21
Total strikes landed
30
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
86s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mitsuhiro Ishida
"The Endless Warrior"
21-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DREAM 15
—
Blue corner
W1
Akiyo Nishiura
"Wicky Akiyo"
14-8-1
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DREAM 14
—