Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Yoshihiro Akiyama
83%
17%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
32
Age
Δ 4y
35
31-9
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-7
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bisping: 118 sig / 0 TD ·
Akiyama: 50 sig / 0 TD
Michael Bisping
Yoshihiro Akiyama
52
Sig strikes landed
33
123
Sig strikes attempted
119
82
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
3.4
2.8
Takedowns attempted
6.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
89s
Control time
289s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
L
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1
Yoshihiro Akiyama
14-7
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—