Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Frank Mir
Mirko Filipovic
24%
76%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
31
Age
Δ 5y
36
18-12
Career record
Δ 13 pp
36-11-2
L1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Mir: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Filipovic: 19 sig / 0 TD
Frank Mir
Mirko Filipovic
28
Sig strikes landed
37
67
Sig strikes attempted
80
40
Total strikes landed
58
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
64s
Control time
203s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Frank Mir
18-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
W2
Mirko Filipovic
"Cro Cop"
36-11-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—