Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chad Robichaux
Humberto DeLeon
72%
28%
Why
35
Age
Δ 14y
21
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Chad Robichaux
Humberto DeLeon
53
Sig strikes landed
36
97
Sig strikes attempted
89
72
Total strikes landed
49
1.3
Takedowns landed
2.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
211s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Chad Robichaux
"Robo"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Age
35
Blue corner
Humberto DeLeon
0-0
Career record
Age
21