Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cung Le
Scott Smith
45%
55%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
38
Age
Δ 7y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Le: 61 sig / 0 TD ·
Smith: 7 sig / 0 TD
Cung Le
Scott Smith
31
Sig strikes landed
40
60
Sig strikes attempted
80
48
Total strikes landed
57
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
166s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Cung Le
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
Blue corner
Scott Smith
"Hands of Steel"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31