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Court McGee vs Kris McCray

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Court McGee
Kris McCray
75% 25%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
26
Age
Δ 3y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
McGee: 22 sig / 5 TD · McCray: 19 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Kris McCray
39
Sig strikes landed
31
80
Sig strikes attempted
73
58
Total strikes landed
42
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
144s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Court McGee

"The Crusher"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner

Kris McCray

"Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29