Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yoshiro Maeda
Kenji Osawa
83%
17%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Maeda: 28 sig / 3 TD ·
Osawa: 42 sig / 1 TD
Yoshiro Maeda
Kenji Osawa
40
Sig strikes landed
33
78
Sig strikes attempted
74
37
Total strikes landed
50
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
170s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yoshiro Maeda
35-17-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DREAM 13
—
Blue corner
Kenji Osawa
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34