Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cody Floyd
Thomas Campbell
81%
19%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Cody Floyd
Thomas Campbell
39
Sig strikes landed
39
86
Sig strikes attempted
85
74
Total strikes landed
50
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
168s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Cody Floyd
0-0
Career record
Age
22
Blue corner
Thomas Campbell
0-0
Career record