Back to UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Prelims1 Lightweight

Efrain Escudero vs Dan Lauzon

UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Efrain Escudero
Dan Lauzon
67% 33%
Why
24
Age
Δ 2y
22
28-13
Career record
Δ 3 pp
17-7
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Escudero: 64 sig / 0 TD · Lauzon: 17 sig / 0 TD
Efrain Escudero
Dan Lauzon
26
Sig strikes landed
31
70
Sig strikes attempted
71
50
Total strikes landed
43
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
174s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Efrain Escudero

"Hecho En Mexico"
28-13
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
L1

Dan Lauzon

"The Upgrade"
17-7
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—