Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Tarec Saffiedine
James Terry
62%
38%
Why
24
Age
Δ 6y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Saffiedine: 93 sig / 0 TD ·
Terry: 47 sig / 2 TD
Tarec Saffiedine
James Terry
40
Sig strikes landed
39
82
Sig strikes attempted
81
54
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
129s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Tarec Saffiedine
"Sponge"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
Blue corner
James Terry
"Intensity"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29