Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Njokuani
Shane Roller
60%
40%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Njokuani: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Roller: 1 sig / 2 TD
Anthony Njokuani
Shane Roller
41
Sig strikes landed
35
84
Sig strikes attempted
71
56
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
186s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Anthony Njokuani
"The Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Shane Roller
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31