Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Charlie Brenneman
Jason High
44%
56%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brenneman: 33 sig / 6 TD ·
High: 12 sig / 0 TD
Charlie Brenneman
Jason High
34
Sig strikes landed
37
77
Sig strikes attempted
79
49
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
125s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Charlie Brenneman
"The Spaniard"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Jason High
"The Kansas City Bandit"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29