Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Terry Etim
Rafael Dos Anjos
52%
48%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
24
Age
Δ 1y
26
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Etim: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Dos Anjos: 25 sig / 2 TD
Terry Etim
Rafael Dos Anjos
36
Sig strikes landed
36
88
Sig strikes attempted
146
52
Total strikes landed
62
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
5.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
63s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Terry Etim
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
W1
Rafael Dos Anjos
33-17
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
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