Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anderson Silva
Demian Maia
77%
23%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Silva: 61 sig / 0 TD ·
Maia: 10 sig / 0 TD
Anderson Silva
Demian Maia
38
Sig strikes landed
41
90
Sig strikes attempted
106
54
Total strikes landed
56
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.3
1.5
Takedowns attempted
6.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
81s
Control time
218s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Anderson Silva
"The Spider"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
Blue corner
W1
Demian Maia
29-11
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 109: Relentless
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