Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Mark Bocek
83%
17%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
27
Age
Δ 2y
28
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 23 sig / 1 TD ·
Bocek: 17 sig / 4 TD
Jim Miller
Mark Bocek
33
Sig strikes landed
28
82
Sig strikes attempted
63
40
Total strikes landed
29
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
74s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
40-19
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
Mark Bocek
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28