Main
Lightweight
George Sotiropoulos vs Joe Stevenson
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
George Sotiropoulos
Joe Stevenson
28%
72%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sotiropoulos: 20 sig / 2 TD ·
Stevenson: 7 sig / 3 TD
George Sotiropoulos
Joe Stevenson
32
Sig strikes landed
39
77
Sig strikes attempted
75
47
Total strikes landed
53
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
119s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
George Sotiropoulos
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner
Joe Stevenson
"Daddy"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28