Main
Light Heavyweight
Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Magomed Ankalaev
Khalil Rountree Jr.
83%
17%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
21-3-1
Career record
Δ 19 pp
15-8
L1
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Magomed Ankalaev
Khalil Rountree Jr.
59
Sig strikes landed
37
110
Sig strikes attempted
87
74
Total strikes landed
39
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.0
3.7
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
163s
Control time
1s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Magomed Ankalaev
21-3-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
16 fights · 12-2
Last 5
L
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
D
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
Blue corner
L1
Khalil Rountree Jr.
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
18 fights · 10-7
Last 5
L
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
L
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—