Main
Light Heavyweight
Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
·Belgrade Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jan Blachowicz
Navajo Stirling
45%
55%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
79"
43
Age
Δ 15y
29
29-11-3
Career record
Δ 33 pp
11-0
D1
Current streak
W5
22
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Blachowicz: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Stirling: 35 sig / 0 TD
Jan Blachowicz
Navajo Stirling
54
Sig strikes landed
66
115
Sig strikes attempted
111
66
Total strikes landed
90
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
69s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Jan Blachowicz
29-11-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43
In our database
22 fights · 12-8
Last 5
D
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
L
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
D
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
W5
Navajo Stirling
11-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
—
W
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Mad…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—