Back to UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Main Welterweight

Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Uros Medic
Daniel Rodriguez
59% 41%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
33
Age
Δ 6y
40
14-3
Career record
Δ 2 pp
21-5
W3
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
14

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Uros Medic
Daniel Rodriguez
51
Sig strikes landed
51
111
Sig strikes attempted
90
53
Total strikes landed
66
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
60s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
5%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Uros Medic

"The Doctor"
14-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
W UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Bro…
W UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
W UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
Blue corner
W3

Daniel Rodriguez

"D-Rod"
21-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database 14 fights · 10-4
Last 5
W UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
L UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…