Back to UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Anna Melisano vs Dione Barbosa

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman ·Paycom Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Anna Melisano
Dione Barbosa
60% 40%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Melisano: 2 sig / 0 TD · Barbosa: 5 sig / 1 TD
Anna Melisano
Dione Barbosa
36
Sig strikes landed
35
80
Sig strikes attempted
76
62
Total strikes landed
67
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
137s
Control time
204s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Anna Melisano

"Bandana"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
W1

Dione Barbosa

"The Witch"
10-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Du…
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L UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
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W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
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W UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
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