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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Levi Rodrigues Jr. vs Felipe Franco

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman ·Paycom Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
Felipe Franco
39% 61%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Rodrigues Jr.: 11 sig / 0 TD · Franco: 39 sig / 3 TD
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
Felipe Franco
35
Sig strikes landed
30
63
Sig strikes attempted
64
51
Total strikes landed
52
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
122s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Levi Rodrigues Jr.

"Baby Monster"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
L1

Felipe Franco

10-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
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