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Prelims1 Featherweight

Austin Bashi vs Jose Delgado

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman ·Paycom Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Austin Bashi
Jose Delgado
63% 37%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
25
Age
Δ 3y
28
15-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-2
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bashi: 32 sig / 3 TD · Delgado: 35 sig / 1 TD
Austin Bashi
Jose Delgado
29
Sig strikes landed
39
58
Sig strikes attempted
63
44
Total strikes landed
46
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.0
7.3
Takedowns attempted
-0.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
244s
Control time
23s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Austin Bashi

15-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—
Blue corner
W1

Jose Delgado

12-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Val…
—
L UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
—
W UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—