Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Veronica Hardy
Dione Barbosa
61%
39%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
31
Age
Δ 4y
34
11-5-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
10-4
W1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Veronica Hardy
Dione Barbosa
37
Sig strikes landed
33
74
Sig strikes attempted
73
70
Total strikes landed
62
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
155s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Veronica Hardy
11-5-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
L
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
Blue corner
W1
Dione Barbosa
"The Witch"
10-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Du…
—
L
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—