Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chase Hooper
Mitch Ramirez
84%
16%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
27
Age
Δ 7y
34
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
8-4
L2
Current streak
L2
13
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Chase Hooper
Mitch Ramirez
53
Sig strikes landed
38
100
Sig strikes attempted
74
70
Total strikes landed
41
2.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.1
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
208s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
16-6-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. P…
—
L
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
—
W
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
Blue corner
L2
Mitch Ramirez
8-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teix…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—