Main
Lightweight
Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
·National Gymnastics Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Nazim Sadykhov
Matheus Camilo
49%
51%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
32
Age
Δ 7y
26
11-3-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
11-3
L1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sadykhov: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Camilo: 4 sig / 0 TD
Nazim Sadykhov
Matheus Camilo
33
Sig strikes landed
28
67
Sig strikes attempted
60
51
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
138s
Control time
167s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nazim Sadykhov
"Black Wolf"
11-3-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rount…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
D
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
Blue corner
W1
Matheus Camilo
"Jaguar"
11-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Mora…
—