Prelims1
Middleweight
Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
·Xfinity Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Tresean Gore
67%
33%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
35
Age
Δ 2y
32
25-12-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
8-4
W1
Current streak
W1
25
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Luque: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Gore: 67 sig / 0 TD
Vicente Luque
Tresean Gore
50
Sig strikes landed
38
91
Sig strikes attempted
72
67
Total strikes landed
41
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
25-12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
25 fights · 17-8
Last 5
W
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. G…
—
L
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
Blue corner
W1
Tresean Gore
"Mr. Vicious"
8-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Du…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
L
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—