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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Tracy Cortez vs Wang Cong

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Tracy Cortez
Wang Cong
61% 39%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
33
Age
Δ 2y
34
12-4
Career record
Δ 16 pp
10-1
L1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Tracy Cortez
Wang Cong
59
Sig strikes landed
61
118
Sig strikes attempted
115
92
Total strikes landed
78
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.0
Takedowns attempted
-0.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
170s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Tracy Cortez

12-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Ma…
W UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
L UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
W UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Blue corner
W3

Wang Cong

"The Joker"
10-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. O…
W UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
W UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …