Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Eros Baluyot
Takeru Uchida
39%
61%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
34
Age
Δ 10y
24
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Baluyot: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Uchida: 2 sig / 1 TD
Eros Baluyot
Takeru Uchida
38
Sig strikes landed
30
76
Sig strikes attempted
65
36
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
171s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
58%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Eros Baluyot
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner
W1
Takeru Uchida
10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 1.2
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