Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Takaya Suzuki
Otgonbaatar Boldbaatar
65%
35%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
22
Age
Δ 2y
23
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Suzuki: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Boldbaatar: 15 sig / 0 TD
Takaya Suzuki
Otgonbaatar Boldbaatar
37
Sig strikes landed
33
78
Sig strikes attempted
68
51
Total strikes landed
45
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.8
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Takaya Suzuki
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22
Blue corner
Otgonbaatar Boldbaatar
"Conqueror"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23