Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ryuho Miyaguchi
Chungreng Koren
58%
42%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
28
Age
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Miyaguchi: 41 sig / 0 TD ·
Koren: 61 sig / 6 TD
Ryuho Miyaguchi
Chungreng Koren
35
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
69
47
Total strikes landed
46
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ryuho Miyaguchi
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Chungreng Koren
"The Indian Rhino"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28