Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
George Mangos
Yuito Yanagawa
66%
34%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
23
Age
Δ 3y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Mangos: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Yanagawa: 1 sig / 0 TD
George Mangos
Yuito Yanagawa
36
Sig strikes landed
34
78
Sig strikes attempted
72
55
Total strikes landed
46
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
George Mangos
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
23
Blue corner
Yuito Yanagawa
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26