Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ahejiang Ailinuer
GwanWoo Lim
80%
20%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ailinuer: 37 sig / 6 TD ·
Lim: 8 sig / 0 TD
Ahejiang Ailinuer
GwanWoo Lim
40
Sig strikes landed
33
76
Sig strikes attempted
85
58
Total strikes landed
42
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
190s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ahejiang Ailinuer
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
GwanWoo Lim
"The Giant"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25