Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ti Haitao
Ryo Tajima
66%
34%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Haitao: 64 sig / 2 TD ·
Tajima: 47 sig / 3 TD
Ti Haitao
Ryo Tajima
39
Sig strikes landed
37
80
Sig strikes attempted
80
55
Total strikes landed
51
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
155s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ti Haitao
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Ryo Tajima
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27